Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:18:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x950b…6f43
crypto · 178 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$458 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$458 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$458
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses90 / 88
Open positions0
Markets (closed)178 / 178
History coverage113d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 178 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +137%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Mar 24 $49 −$49 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 24 $100 −$99 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 24 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Mar 24 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 24 $104 −$4 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Mar 24 $105 +$5 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$7 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Mar 24 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Mar 24 $96 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Mar 24 $96 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$102 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Mar 24 $192 −$105 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Mar 24 $115 −$5 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$36 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Mar 24 $15 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Mar 24 $101 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Mar 24 $100 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Mar 24 $101 +$12 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Mar 10 $11 +$4 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Mar 10 $8 −$2 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Mar 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Mar 10 $25 −$9 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Mar 08 $46 +$15 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Mar 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Mar 08 $25 −$25 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Mar 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Mar 08 $11 −$5 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$458
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $95 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $19 80d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $30 80d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $100 80d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 80d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 80d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $106 80d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-38.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 40% -11.3%
≤30d 10 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 40% -11.3%
≤90d 38 -23.5% -30.8% 58% 21% -16.9%
all 178 -31.4% -38.0% 51% 32% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.0% 32% -15.9%
10% -43.9% 20% -24.0%
15% -49.3% 13% -31.3%
20% -54.3% 11% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 577 history records