trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $14,643,386 | +$82,590 | +1% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Apr 05 | $4,500,639 | +$4,505 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $2,157 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $74,799 | +$75 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $97,951 | +$98 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 31 | $1,022,810 | +$1,031 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.4% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -26.0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.0% |