trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -24.9% | -32.1% | 0% | 0% | -13.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -38.1% | -44.0% | 0% | 0% | -14.6% |
| all | 25 | -24.9% | -32.0% | 16% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.0% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -38.5% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -44.5% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -49.9% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill? | May 24 | $3 | −$2 | -50% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 06 | $1 | −$1 | -60% |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 26 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 15 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 03 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 21 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 12 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 31 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 19 | $58 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 31 | $51 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 20 | $134 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Dec 09 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Nov 27 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Nov 26 | $1 | −$1 | -67% |
| Will Bam Adebayo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Nov 24 | $1 | −$1 | -75% |
| Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Nov 23 | $2 | −$1 | -74% |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November | Nov 22 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Nov 20 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 18 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Nov 16 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | Nov 14 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sam Altman rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Nov 13 | $157 | $0 | +0% |