Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:10:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94e6…58a4
crypto · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$2 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses6 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)12 / 13
History coverage116d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 19¢ 6¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Feb 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Feb 18 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Feb 18 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Feb 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Feb 18 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Feb 18 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Feb 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Feb 18 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Feb 18 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Feb 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Feb 18 $2 +$3 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Feb 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$2
other 13% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $7 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $9 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 115d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 12 -20.4% -28.0% 50% 33% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.0% 33% -4.9%
10% -34.9% 33% -14.0%
15% -41.2% 33% -22.3%
20% -46.9% 25% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.71 · official $1.71 (match) · 29 history records