trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 75% | 75% | -27.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 75% | 75% | -27.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 60% | 60% | -37.3% |
| all | 24 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 67% | 62% | -26.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.9% | 62% | -26.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -22.1% | 58% | -33.1% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 29% | -39.6% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 21% | -45.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 60¢ | 58¢ | $300 | $294 | −$6 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $102 | +$107 | +105% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $507 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2,518 | −$2,500 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2,396 | +$804 | +34% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $113 | +$97 | +86% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $302 | +$69 | +23% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | +$34 | +67% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1,010 | +$505 | +50% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) | May 01 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $803 | −$795 | -99% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01? | Feb 01 | $14,994 | −$14,994 | -100% |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | Feb 01 | $6,996 | +$3,156 | +45% |
| Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | Feb 01 | $100 | +$30 | +30% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Celtics | Jan 27 | $1,000 | +$100 | +10% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | Jan 27 | $100 | +$27 | +26% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Jan 27 | $500 | +$130 | +26% |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Jan 27 | $1,300 | +$402 | +31% |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Jan 25 | $3,767 | +$1,935 | +51% |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Jan 24 | $10,964 | +$2,803 | +26% |
| Warriors vs. Cavaliers | Dec 07 | $820 | −$820 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Dec 07 | $14,906 | +$9,345 | +63% |
| Thunder vs. Warriors | Dec 07 | $5,999 | +$717 | +12% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 07 | $8,990 | −$8,990 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Dec 15 | $6,998 | −$6,998 | -100% |