Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:38:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94e4…c3e8
crypto · 645 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,229 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,092 · open −$137
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,961
Realized−$1,092
Unrealized−$137
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses429 / 192
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions24
Markets (closed)621 / 645
History coverage15d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day202.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 24 History 621 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days−$524
14 days−$1,101
30 days−$1,092
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1,706 $1,650 −$56 (-3%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1,073 $979 −$93 (-9%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $507 $527 +$20 (+4%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $235 $238 +$4 (+2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $79 $83 +$4 (+5%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $73 $73 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $64 $64 −$0 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $56 $55 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $56 $55 −$1 (-2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $50 $45 −$4 (-9%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $52 $44 −$7 (-14%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $34 $34 −$1 (-2%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $59 +$62 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +67%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $8 +$13 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $69 +$29 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$960
other 19% −$261
politics 0% +$5
world 0% $0
sports 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $5 1h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $15 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $15 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 -0.4% -9.9% 75% 45% -26.2%
≤30d 621 -2.8% -12.1% 69% 46% -15.0%
≤90d 621 -2.8% -12.1% 69% 46% -15.0%
all 621 -2.8% -12.1% 69% 46% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover202.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 46% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 29% -23.2%
15% -28.2% 17% -30.6%
20% -35.2% 12% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,961.33 · official $3,961.35 (match) · 3500 history records