Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94e4…c4ef
crypto · 1766 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$131 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$130
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1152 / 730
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1882 / 1766
History coverage23d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day95.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 1 History 1882 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$525
7 days−$316
14 days−$244
30 days−$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+82%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -49%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% +$371
other 26% +$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 728 -25.5% -32.6% 49% 48% -23.6%
≤30d 1882 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 59% -12.1%
≤90d 1882 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 59% -12.1%
all 1882 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 59% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 59% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 50% -20.5%
15% -26.5% 38% -28.2%
20% -33.7% 24% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.69 · official $6.37 (match) · 3500 history records