Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94e1…1f6a
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$3,300 +64%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,785 · open −$484
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,453
Realized+$3,785
Unrealized−$484
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$140
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage32d
Avg bet$1,730
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$4,963
30 days+$3,785
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,938 $1,453 −$484 (-25%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 56¢ 0¢ $1,179 $0 −$1,179 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 01 $2,000 +$4,963 +248%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 23 $1,194 −$1,179 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$3,785
other 38% −$484
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $14 1h
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $916 2h
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1,065 2h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 64¢ $6,963 12d
Knicks vs. Cavaliers BUY Cavaliers 56¢ $1,194 21d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 18¢ $11 32d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 18¢ $1,989 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+57.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +74.1% +57.5% 50% 50% +98.2%
≤90d 2 +74.1% +57.5% 50% 50% +98.2%
all 2 +74.1% +57.5% 50% 50% +98.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +57.5% 50% +98.2%
10% +42.4% 50% +79.2%
15% +28.7% 50% +61.9%
20% +16.1% 50% +46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,453.18 · official $1,453.18 (match) · 7 history records