trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +12.9% | +2.2% | 75% | 75% | -0.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 73% | 40% | -20.4% |
| all | 22 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 82% | 32% | -18.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 32% | -18.4% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 18% | -26.2% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 18% | -33.4% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 9% | -39.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $99 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $82 | +$63 | +76% |
| LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs | Jun 03 | $129 | +$51 | +40% |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 27 | $111 | −$110 | -99% |
| Alba Berlin vs. SC RASTA Vechta | May 19 | $117 | +$42 | +36% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | May 16 | $24 | $0 | -2% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 12 | $116 | −$115 | -99% |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Le | May 07 | $39 | −$39 | -99% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Apr 29 | $9 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 29 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting? | Apr 29 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31? | Apr 29 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 11? | Apr 29 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | Apr 29 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Apr 29 | $26 | +$3 | +11% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 29 | $23 | +$13 | +54% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Amazon reach $320 in January? | Feb 03 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Feb 03 | $17 | +$4 | +20% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of January? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Jan 10 | $18 | $0 | +0% |