Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94d7…bef5
sports · 99 markets active 1d ago
0.0score
−$710,036 -55%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$710,261 · open +$225
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,225
Realized−$710,261
Unrealized+$225
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses32 / 194
Whale WR (big bets)19%
Est. fees paid−$26,605
Open positions1
Markets (closed)226 / 99
History coverage161d
Avg bet$12,980
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$475,567
7 days−$424,468
14 days−$358,613
30 days−$611,814
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5,000 $5,225 +$225 (+5%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 30¢ 0¢ $6,100 $0 −$6,100 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Grizzlies 18¢ 0¢ $1,745 $0 −$1,745 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Jazz Jazz 6¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. 76ers 76ers 29¢ 0¢ $6,097 $0 −$6,097 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Hornets Bulls 26¢ 0¢ $4,900 $0 −$4,900 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Suns Suns 26¢ 0¢ $454 $0 −$454 (-100%)
76ers vs. Cavaliers 76ers 13¢ 0¢ $3,486 $0 −$3,486 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Cavaliers Hornets 6¢ 0¢ $1,600 $0 −$1,600 (-100%)
Nets vs. 76ers 76ers 19¢ 0¢ $9,883 $0 −$9,883 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Lakers Lakers 21¢ 0¢ $12,000 $0 −$12,000 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 4¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 26¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Jazz Jazz 20¢ 0¢ $6,000 $0 −$6,000 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Clippers Clippers 29¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Lakers vs. 76ers 76ers 27¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1,300 $0 −$1,300 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Celtics Celtics 8¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Jazz Bulls 35¢ 0¢ $15,349 $0 −$15,349 (-100%)
Suns vs. Rockets Suns 9¢ 0¢ $8,027 $0 −$8,027 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Clippers Clippers 33¢ 0¢ $16,494 $0 −$16,494 (-100%)
Heat vs. Lakers Heat 18¢ 0¢ $5,250 $0 −$5,250 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Rockets Clippers 20¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 27¢ 0¢ $4,200 $0 −$4,200 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Lakers Lakers 48¢ 0¢ $5,500 $0 −$5,500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Jun 12 $1,745 −$1,745 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Jazz Jun 12 $700 −$700 -100%
Bulls vs. Hornets Jun 12 $4,900 −$4,900 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Suns Jun 12 $454 −$454 -100%
76ers vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $3,486 −$3,486 -100%
Hornets vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $1,600 −$1,600 -100%
Nets vs. 76ers Jun 12 $9,883 −$9,883 -100%
Warriors vs. Lakers Jun 12 $12,000 −$12,000 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder Jun 12 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Lakers vs. Jazz Jun 12 $6,000 −$6,000 -100%
Nuggets vs. Clippers Jun 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Lakers vs. 76ers Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Rockets vs. Celtics Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Bulls vs. Jazz Jun 12 $15,349 −$15,349 -100%
Heat vs. Lakers Jun 12 $5,250 −$5,250 -100%
Clippers vs. Rockets Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Spurs vs. Lakers Jun 12 $5,500 −$5,500 -100%
Bucks vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Heat vs. Bulls Jun 12 $8,099 −$8,099 -100%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Kings vs. Lakers Jun 12 $10,670 −$10,670 -100%
Lakers vs. Jazz Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Pistons vs. Hawks Jun 12 $4,100 −$4,100 -100%
Clippers vs. Warriors Jun 12 $8,500 −$8,500 -100%
Heat vs. 76ers Jun 12 $23,639 −$23,639 -100%
Pistons vs. Lakers Jun 12 $3,542 −$3,542 -100%
Lakers vs. Clippers Jun 12 $3,200 −$3,200 -100%
Warriors vs. Bucks Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Pelicans vs. Lakers Jun 12 $160 −$160 -100%
Suns vs. Lakers Jun 12 $29,650 −$29,650 -100%
Hawks vs. Pelicans Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Pistons vs. Clippers Jun 12 $2,026 −$2,026 -100%
Kings vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $10,000 −$10,000 -100%
Hawks vs. Pacers Jun 12 $759 −$759 -100%
Kings vs. Trail Blazers Jun 12 $174 +$1,229 +706%
Kings vs. Rockets Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Magic vs. Rockets Jun 12 $600 −$600 -100%
Clippers vs. Lakers Jun 12 $9,100 −$9,100 -100%
Suns vs. Clippers Jun 12 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Knicks vs. Bucks Jun 12 $499 −$499 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Hornets Jun 12 $2,150 −$2,150 -100%
Wizards vs. Raptors Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Hawks vs. Bulls Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Rockets vs. Pelicans Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Nuggets vs. Kings Jun 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Rockets vs. Jazz Jun 12 $7,500 −$7,500 -100%
Heat vs. Spurs Jun 12 $1,391 −$1,391 -100%
Nets vs. Bucks Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$85,852
crypto 0% +$225
other 0% −$3,024
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 99¢ $88,965 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $9,020 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $666 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $162 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $243 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $17 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $156 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $116 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $98 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $100 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $100 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $8 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $50 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $1 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $317 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $7 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $50 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $13,507 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $1 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $230 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $13 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $9 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $5,468 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $2,845 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $10 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $2,553 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $10,816 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $25 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $769 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 84¢ $100 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-55.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -82.5% -84.2% 5% 5% -58.7%
≤30d 153 -68.2% -71.3% 7% 7% -51.1%
≤90d 179 -56.0% -60.2% 10% 10% -49.4%
all 226 -51.0% -55.7% 14% 14% -46.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -55.7% 14% -46.9%
10% -59.9% 14% -52.0%
15% ← realistic here -63.8% 14% -56.7%
20% -67.3% 13% -60.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,225.11 · official $5,237.15 (match) · 3500 history records