trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 55% | 55% | -26.6% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 48% | 48% | -28.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 48% | 48% | -28.3% |
| all | 21 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 48% | 48% | -28.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 48% | -28.3% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 29% | -35.1% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 24% | -41.4% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 14% | -47.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $3,213 | −$1,044 | -32% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $3,421 | −$2,144 | -63% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $2,301 | +$1,099 | +48% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 22 | $93 | −$4 | -5% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2,225 | −$1,430 | -64% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1,851 | +$288 | +16% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1,587 | +$303 | +19% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 18 | $533 | +$493 | +92% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,531 | −$1,520 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,242 | +$212 | +17% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $969 | +$179 | +18% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $271 | +$129 | +48% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 13 | $998 | −$998 | -100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $240 | −$40 | -17% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $192 | −$40 | -21% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $264 | −$30 | -11% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | Jun 12 | $236 | +$164 | +70% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $203 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $209 | +$51 | +24% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 08 | $209 | −$206 | -99% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technoc | Jun 08 | $40 | +$24 | +60% |