Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94c4…103d
crypto · 519 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$256 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$252 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$252
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses390 / 128
Open positions1
Markets (closed)518 / 519
History coverage7d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day175.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 518 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$252
14 days−$252
30 days−$252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$6 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$252
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 518 +24.4% +12.6% 75% 59% -11.6%
≤30d 518 +24.4% +12.6% 75% 59% -11.6%
≤90d 518 +24.4% +12.6% 75% 59% -11.6%
all 518 +24.4% +12.6% 75% 59% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover175.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.6% 59% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here +1.8% 33% -20.0%
15% -8.0% 8% -27.8%
20% -17.0% 4% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.71 · official $0.00 (match) · 1606 history records