| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Jun 24 |
$76 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? |
Jun 23 |
$11 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? |
Jun 21 |
$89 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Jun 20 |
$345 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 |
Jun 20 |
$89 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? |
Jun 20 |
$89 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? |
Jun 19 |
$88 |
+$1 |
+1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Jun 19 |
$65 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$89 |
−$1 |
-1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Jun 17 |
$67 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? |
May 27 |
$104 |
+$6 |
+6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? |
May 26 |
$65 |
−$1 |
-2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab |
May 25 |
$68 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? |
May 25 |
$156 |
−$4 |
-2% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? |
May 25 |
$2 |
$0 |
-14% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? |
May 24 |
$22 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
May 24 |
$44 |
+$31 |
+71% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? |
May 23 |
$55 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? |
May 23 |
$51 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
May 22 |
$1 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Mar 26 |
$7 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Dec 16 |
$17 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? |
Dec 14 |
$5 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? |
Dec 14 |
$9 |
+$1 |
+8% |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? |
Nov 14 |
$4 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Oct 23 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? |
Oct 22 |
$2 |
$0 |
+4% |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? |
Oct 21 |
$17 |
−$7 |
-42% |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? |
Oct 20 |
$2 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025 |
Oct 19 |
$14 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Oct 18 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? |
Oct 18 |
$26 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? |
Oct 18 |
$14 |
−$1 |
-4% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Oct 08 |
$17 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? |
Oct 07 |
$30 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? |
Oct 04 |
$35 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? |
Sep 15 |
$9 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September? |
Sep 14 |
$9 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Jeremy Allen White win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a C |
Sep 14 |
$9 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? |
Sep 13 |
$10 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? |
Sep 12 |
$10 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? |
Sep 11 |
$16 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? |
Sep 10 |
$9 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? |
Sep 10 |
$8 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? |
Sep 10 |
$1 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? |
Sep 09 |
$2 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year? |
Sep 09 |
$7 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? |
Sep 09 |
$10 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? |
Sep 09 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? |
Sep 08 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |