Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94bf…d75b
other · 235 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$72 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses6 / 229
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)235 / 235
History coverage124d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$25
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $201 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $706 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $196 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $316 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $329 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $168 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $342 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $594 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $224 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $48 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $192 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $241 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $202 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $301 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $146 $0 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $200 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $164 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $575 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $383 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 09 $409 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 09 $210 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $230 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $538 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 08 $50 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $101 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $364 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $311 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $548 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $51 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $394 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $377 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $212 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 05 $639 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $310 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $452 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $169 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $220 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 03 $241 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $160 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $252 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $329 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 02 $192 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $354 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $580 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $203 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $224 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$31
sports 25% −$25
politics 8% −$6
culture 7% −$6
economics 7% −$6
crypto 6% −$6
world 3% −$3
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $47 4m
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $47 1h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $47 3h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 4h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $47 5h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $47 6h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $47 8h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $47 9h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $47 11h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $47 12h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $47 14h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 15h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $47 18h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $48 19h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $48 20h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $48 21h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $48 24h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $48 25h
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $48 30h
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $48 31h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $48 39h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $48 41h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $48 42h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $48 43h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $48 45h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $48 47h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $48 2d
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $48 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $48 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $48 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 191 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 235 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1291 history records