Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:42:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94aa…bbfe
crypto · 1084 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$356 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$356 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$356
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses575 / 509
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1084 / 1084
History coverage52d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day56.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1084 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days−$16
30 days−$227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 05 $4 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 05 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$356
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +118.9% +98.1% 75% 38% -0.9%
≤30d 286 +1.1% -8.5% 52% 24% -23.1%
≤90d 1084 -1.8% -11.2% 53% 21% -13.3%
all 1084 -1.8% -11.2% 53% 21% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 21% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 12% -21.6%
15% -27.4% 7% -29.2%
20% -34.5% 4% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.35 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records