trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 24¢ | $15 | $6 | −$9 (-58%) |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $95 | +$18 | +19% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$10 | +197% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -89% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | Jun 10 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 59¢ | $15 | 1h |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | SELL Yes | 1¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 95¢ | $100 | 3h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $114 | 23h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 89¢ | $10 | 25h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 85¢ | $25 | 25h |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $29 | 25h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $60 | 25h |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $20 | 27h |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 43¢ | $20 | 27h |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | SELL Yes | 2¢ | $1 | 2d |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | BUY Yes | 33¢ | $5 | 2d |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY Yes | 17¢ | $5 | 2d |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | BUY Yes | 59¢ | $100 | 3d |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY Yes | 29¢ | $4 | 5d |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY No | 5¢ | $5 | 6d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -36.7% | -42.7% | 33% | 33% | -59.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -36.7% | -42.7% | 33% | 33% | -59.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -36.7% | -42.7% | 33% | 33% | -59.5% |
| all | 9 | -36.7% | -42.7% | 33% | 33% | -59.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.7% | 33% | -59.5% |
| 10% | -48.2% | 22% | -63.4% |
| 15% | -53.2% | 22% | -66.9% |
| 20% | -57.8% | 11% | -70.2% |