Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9474…2466
crypto · 219 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$296 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$296 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$296
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses103 / 115
Open positions1
Markets (closed)218 / 219
History coverage59d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 218 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97
7 days−$300
14 days−$300
30 days−$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 51¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$188
politics 8% −$109
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 -13.6% -21.8% 47% 43% -21.2%
≤30d 217 -13.6% -21.8% 47% 43% -21.2%
≤90d 218 -13.5% -21.7% 47% 43% -20.9%
all 218 -13.5% -21.7% 47% 43% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.7% 43% -20.9%
10% -29.2% 35% -28.5%
15% -36.1% 28% -35.4%
20% -42.3% 23% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.64 · official $0.64 (match) · 517 history records