trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +83.7% | +66.2% | 100% | 100% | +38.2% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +15.0% | +4.0% | 74% | 70% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 68% | 64% | -9.8% |
| all | 25 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 68% | 64% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.3% | 64% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -13.5% | 56% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -21.8% | 32% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -29.5% | 16% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 64¢ | $150 | $136 | −$14 (-9%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 22¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+32%) |
| Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Jun 28 | $51 | +$22 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Jun 28 | $51 | +$13 | +25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Jun 28 | $61 | +$21 | +35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Jun 28 | $10 | +$3 | +34% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND | Jun 27 | $10 | +$34 | +340% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $8 | +$5 | +60% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$10 | +50% |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Jun 11 | $3 | +$2 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina | Jun 08 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 05 | $71 | +$21 | +29% |
| Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu | Jun 04 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur | Jun 04 | $50 | +$10 | +20% |
| Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovic | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic | Jun 04 | $50 | +$8 | +17% |
| Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Giles Hussey | Jun 04 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |