Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9468…ccb5
sports · 31 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$271 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$260 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$0
Realized−$260
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses20 / 10
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)30 / 31
History coverage23d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$260
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$8 -61%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$7 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $72 −$50 -70%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $58 +$2 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $52 +$6 +12%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $41 +$13 +31%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $42 −$2 -4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $102 −$16 -16%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $34 +$8 +23%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $49 +$2 +4%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $43 +$5 +12%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $29 +$2 +5%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $35 +$8 +23%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $33 +$2 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $31 +$2 +6%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $31 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $26 +$3 +11%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $23 +$3 +12%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $18 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$3 +14%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 09 $18 $0 +2%
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1 −$1 -99%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $15 −$13 -85%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $38 +$4 +11%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $2 +$1 +27%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $38 −$27 -70%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 27 $7 −$5 -75%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $80 −$3 -4%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 27 $35 +$3 +8%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? May 27 $246 −$211 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$47
world 24% −$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 22¢ $1 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $4 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 33¢ $4 35m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $9 44m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 97¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 81¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 42¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 98¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $19 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $12 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 99¢ $12 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 84¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 11¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $62 25h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $60 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 96¢ $58 28h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 82¢ $4 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 82¢ $44 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 82¢ $9 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 73¢ $52 30h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Warriors 94¢ $53 34h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 71¢ $41 34h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur SELL Panna Udvardy 69¢ $12 35h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur SELL Panna Udvardy 69¢ $29 35h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Panna Udvardy 71¢ $42 36h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 99¢ $42 37h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 80¢ $34 37h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 99¢ $34 37h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 75¢ $6 37h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 70¢ $30 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +4.1% -5.8% 81% 48% -10.3%
≤30d 30 -9.6% -18.2% 67% 40% -28.4%
≤90d 30 -9.6% -18.2% 67% 40% -28.4%
all 30 -9.6% -18.2% 67% 40% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.2% 40% -28.4%
10% -26.0% 17% -35.2%
15% -33.2% 3% -41.5%
20% -39.7% 3% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records