Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T11:03:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
94 0x9467…d15f crypto 64 markets active 1h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,326 (+8%) realized +$2,326 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate100%64W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$446per market
Trades / day9.2pace
Kalshi-fit66%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$135
7 days+$2,228
14 days+$2,270
30 days+$2,270
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$2,218
other 16% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +4.5% -5.5% 100% 6% -1.9%
≤30d 64 +3.9% -6.0% 100% 5% -2.3%
≤90d 64 +3.9% -6.0% 100% 5% -2.3%
all 64 +3.9% -6.0% 100% 5% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 5% -2.3%
10% -15.0% 2% -11.7%
15% -23.2% 2% -20.2%
20% -30.7% 2% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 70% · top 2 75% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$35 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,326
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses64 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage7d
Avg bet$446
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit66%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 64 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5AM ET Jun 18 $4,003 +$38 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $65 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $1,201 +$11 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $1,201 +$11 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $1,905 +$18 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $754 +$56 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET Jun 15 $2,502 +$24 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1,806 +$91 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $179 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $410 +$7 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,206 +$101 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $742 +$15 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $660 +$25 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,501 +$14 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$2 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $169 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $137 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $314 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,550 +$1,600 +103%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $140 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $614 +$12 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $486 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $283 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $68 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $117 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $180 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $269 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $303 +$53 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $163 +$2 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $126 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $303 +$43 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $240 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $302 +$25 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $221 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $161 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $300 +$5 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $121 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $81 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $302 +$23 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4,003 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $65 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,201 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,201 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,905 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $754 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,502 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1,806 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $83 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $179 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $410 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1,206 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $742 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $82 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $87 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $660 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $121 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $87 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $74 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,501 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $131 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $92 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $169 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $137 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $314 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $46 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $772 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 130 history records