Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9460…4e55
sports · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$113 -53%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$97
Realized−$111
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions10
Markets (closed)3 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 10 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days−$111
14 days−$111
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $48 −$47 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $51 −$50 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $14 −$14 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$98
other 31% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $9 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 1h
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 BUY Over 9¢ $48 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 11¢ $51 20h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $14 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.59 · official $96.59 (match) · 13 history records