trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -23.0% | -30.3% | 19% | 19% | -44.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -23.0% | -30.3% | 19% | 19% | -44.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -28.7% | -35.5% | 17% | 17% | -46.4% |
| all | 23 | -28.7% | -35.5% | 17% | 17% | -46.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.5% | 17% | -46.4% |
| 10% | -41.7% | 17% | -51.5% |
| 15% | -47.3% | 13% | -56.2% |
| 20% | -52.5% | 13% | -60.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: England (-2.5) | England | 44¢ | 44¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-62%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $81 | +$26 | +33% |
| Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND | Jun 26 | $20 | +$31 | +154% |
| Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Norway vs. France: Both Teams | Jun 26 | $20 | +$30 | +151% |
| Norway to score first vs. France? | Jun 26 | $11 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 26 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Jun 26 | $26 | −$8 | -32% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Jun 26 | $21 | −$2 | -10% |
| Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5 | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5 | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20 | Jun 26 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $11 | +$8 | +73% |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Jun 26 | $18 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Jun 25 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Jun 22 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | May 10 | $20 | −$16 | -79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Apr 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |