Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:21:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9444…bbb7
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33,146 -144%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33,143 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$33,143
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses104 / 515
Whale WR (big bets)19%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)619 / 211
History coverage70d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day48.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 619 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33,740
7 days−$33,742
14 days−$33,742
30 days−$33,742
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $324 $0 −$324 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $309 $0 −$309 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $354 $0 −$354 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$69 -156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $309 −$309 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $218 −$218 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $354 −$354 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $328 −$328 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $293 −$293 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$17 -289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$138 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $450 −$450 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $338 −$338 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $141 −$141 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $144 −$144 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $658 −$658 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,032
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-57.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 451 -77.4% -79.6% 5% 5% -95.6%
≤30d 451 -77.4% -79.6% 5% 5% -95.6%
≤90d 619 -53.5% -57.9% 17% 16% -61.6%
all 619 -53.5% -57.9% 17% 16% -61.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.9% 16% -61.6%
10% ← realistic here -61.9% 16% -65.3%
15% -65.6% 15% -68.6%
20% -69.0% 13% -71.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.09 · official $3.15 · 3500 history records