trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -26.9% | -33.8% | 50% | 50% | -0.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 57% | 43% | -3.5% |
| all | 7 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 57% | 43% | -3.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 43% | -3.5% |
| 10% | -29.9% | 29% | -12.7% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 14% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -42.8% | 0% | -28.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of | Jun 03 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | May 26 | $3 | −$2 | -82% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | May 21 | $21 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | May 13 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |