Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:33:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9431…5b46
crypto · 18 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses4 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage101d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Mar 04 $1 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$27
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $25 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $17 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $20 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -22.6% -29.9% 24% 6% -25.3%
≤30d 17 -22.6% -29.9% 24% 6% -25.3%
≤90d 17 -22.6% -29.9% 24% 6% -25.3%
all 18 -21.5% -29.0% 22% 6% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.0% 6% -25.2%
10% -35.8% 6% -32.4%
15% -42.0% 0% -38.9%
20% -47.7% 0% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 54 history records