Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:14:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x942d…927d
politics · 74 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses18 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage138d
Avg bet$224
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 20 $489 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 20 $490 −$1 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $989 −$1 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $989 −$1 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $989 −$1 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $492 −$1 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $990 −$1 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $493 −$1 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $493 −$1 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $494 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $494 −$1 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $495 −$1 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Apr 20 $496 −$1 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 07 $496 −$1 -0%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 07 $497 −$1 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 06 $499 −$1 -0%
GTA VI released before June 2026? Apr 06 $501 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Apr 06 $502 −$1 -0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? Apr 06 $501 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Apr 06 $501 −$1 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Apr 06 $502 −$1 -0%
Trump out as President by April 30? Apr 06 $502 −$1 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $503 −$1 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $503 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $504 −$1 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $504 −$1 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $505 −$1 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Apr 06 $505 −$1 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $506 −$1 -0%
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch? Mar 09 $1 $0 +1%
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch? Mar 09 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? Mar 09 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February? Mar 09 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? Mar 09 $2 $0 +1%
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? Mar 09 $3 $0 +1%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Feb 11 $1 $0 -1%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026? Feb 11 $1 $0 -1%
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? Feb 11 $4 $0 -1%
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? Feb 11 $2 $0 -0%
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? Feb 11 $8 −$3 -31%
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? Feb 11 $3 $0 -4%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Feb 11 $5 −$1 -20%
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? Feb 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Feb 10 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 84% −$14
world 9% −$2
other 6% −$5
crypto 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $10 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $10 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $5 1h
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $489 54d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $489 54d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $489 54d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $490 54d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $490 54d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $490 54d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $490 54d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $491 54d
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $491 54d
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $491 54d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $491 54d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $492 54d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $492 54d
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $492 54d
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $492 54d
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $493 54d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $493 54d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $493 54d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.6% -10.0% 0% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 6 -0.6% -10.0% 0% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 35 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 74 -0.6% -10.1% 24% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 1% -9.6%
10% -18.7% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.5% 1% -26.2%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 178 history records