trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 33% | 33% | +28.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +31.1% | +18.6% | 64% | 64% | +32.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +49.2% | +35.0% | 71% | 71% | +35.4% |
| all | 24 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 50% | 50% | +26.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 50% | +26.3% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 50% | +14.2% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 46% | +3.2% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 42% | -6.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $359 | $301 | −$58 (-16%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 23¢ | $100 | $124 | +$24 (+24%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $20 | $13 | −$7 (-36%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-20%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 11¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-22%) |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 29¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-44%) |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 28 | $27 | −$18 | -67% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $103 | +$81 | +79% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $2 | +$5 | +262% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$4 | +75% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | May 31 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | May 30 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | May 30 | $5 | +$6 | +122% |
| Will Israel or the US target Tehran? | May 10 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | May 10 | $2 | +$3 | +144% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | May 10 | $5 | +$5 | +85% |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Feb 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 31 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21? | Dec 22 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | Dec 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17? | Dec 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Dec 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |