Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x941e…58b1
crypto · 1213 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$68 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1153 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1213 / 1213
History coverage21d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day62.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$109
14 days−$195
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 -3.5% -12.7% 90% 17% -12.9%
≤30d 1213 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 9% -10.0%
≤90d 1213 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 9% -10.0%
all 1213 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 9% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 9% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 3% -18.6%
15% -26.4% 1% -26.5%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.10 · official $10.10 (match) · 3500 history records