Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x941b…7659
crypto · 390 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24,721 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24,721 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24,721
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses193 / 546
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)739 / 390
History coverage10d
Avg bet$134
Trades / day342.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 739 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19,870
7 days−$31,541
14 days−$24,721
30 days−$24,721
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $350 −$350 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3,248
weather 0% −$52
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $104 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $21 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-56.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 696 -58.0% -62.0% 24% 21% -67.4%
≤30d 739 -51.5% -56.2% 26% 23% -42.8%
≤90d 739 -51.5% -56.2% 26% 23% -42.8%
all 739 -51.5% -56.2% 26% 23% -42.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover342.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.2% 23% -42.8%
10% ← realistic here -60.4% 17% -48.2%
15% -64.2% 16% -53.2%
20% -67.7% 15% -57.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records