Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:58:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9410…b32e
sports · 172 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$275 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$261 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$261
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses101 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$191
Open positions3
Markets (closed)169 / 172
History coverage23d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day22.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$633
7 days−$896
14 days−$296
30 days−$261
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 76¢ 64¢ $25 $21 −$4 (-15%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 53¢ 53¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 69¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $36 +$17 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $33 −$9 -26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $127 −$30 -24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$22 +53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$9 -38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $64 +$9 +13%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $70 −$6 -9%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $45 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $127 −$26 -20%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$36 -91%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$45 -88%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $96 +$17 +17%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $50 +$12 +24%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $360 −$147 -41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $151 +$30 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $90 +$19 +21%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $128 +$49 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $20 +$14 +68%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$54 +107%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $96 −$95 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $136 +$25 +18%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $131 +$30 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$25 +70%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $231 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$20 +20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$22 +43%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$10 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $735 −$380 -52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 −$23 -66%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $10 −$1 -11%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $29 +$4 +12%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $80 +$17 +21%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $8 +$13 +159%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $16 $0 -2%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $87 −$54 -62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $150 −$7 -4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $126 +$3 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $68 −$31 -45%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $66 −$50 -75%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $61 +$60 +99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $583 −$354 -61%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $506 −$490 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$16
other 3% −$289
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 53¢ $20 11m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $25 28m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $53 32m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 67¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 66¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 35¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 12¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 65¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 85¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 16¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 84¢ $48 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 38¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 64¢ $34 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 45¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 73¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $40 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $38 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 48¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 31¢ $15 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $15 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 62¢ $24 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 64¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 48¢ $24 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $73 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 87¢ $64 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 74¢ $64 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 80¢ $70 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $45 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -9.5% -18.1% 54% 44% -14.5%
≤30d 169 -5.4% -14.4% 60% 50% -10.6%
≤90d 169 -5.4% -14.4% 60% 50% -10.6%
all 169 -5.4% -14.4% 60% 50% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 50% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 34% -19.1%
15% -30.1% 26% -27.0%
20% -36.9% 17% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.26 · official $42.50 · 578 history records