trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 44 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 48% | 48% | +3.5% |
| ≤30d | 46 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 50% | 50% | +4.4% |
| ≤90d | 72 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 50% | 50% | +5.7% |
| all | 72 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 50% | 50% | +5.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.4% | 50% | +5.7% |
| 10% | -5.6% | 50% | -4.4% |
| 15% | -14.7% | 47% | -13.6% |
| 20% | -23.1% | 38% | -22.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | Jordan | 64¢ | 64¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24¢ | 23¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | France | 57¢ | 55¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 51¢ | 48¢ | $100 | $93 | −$7 (-7%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 15¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+30%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-10.5) | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playof | Jun 21 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $102 | +$103 | +101% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$55 | +55% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $101 | −$4 | -4% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $101 | −$5 | -5% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $102 | −$5 | -5% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $101 | +$74 | +73% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 21 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 21 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 21 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$63 | +62% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | Jun 19 | $62 | +$20 | +32% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $102 | +$268 | +262% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $102 | +$131 | +129% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $110 | +$136 | +124% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$42 | +42% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$24 | +93% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$33 | +321% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 31 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 11 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | Apr 27 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Apr 27 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |