Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:45:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9401…e8a8
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$11 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 44h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+38.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +53.5% +38.9% 75% 75% +39.5%
≤30d 4 +53.5% +38.9% 75% 75% +39.5%
≤90d 4 +53.5% +38.9% 75% 75% +39.5%
all 4 +53.5% +38.9% 75% 75% +39.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +38.9% 75% +39.5%
10% +25.6% 75% +26.2%
15% +13.5% 75% +14.0%
20% +2.3% 50% +2.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.75 · official $19.75 (match) · 11 history records