Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T20:08:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x93f4…522d crypto 150 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate86%129W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day66.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 +0.2% -9.3% 86% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 150 +0.2% -9.3% 86% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 150 +0.2% -9.3% 86% 0% -9.3%
all 150 +0.2% -9.3% 86% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses129 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)150 / 150
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day66.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 150 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 307 history records