trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 25% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 21 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 15 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 02 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $98 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 10 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 08 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Mar 27 | $201 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 17 | $201 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Mar 14 | $201 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $201 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Mar 06 | $201 | $0 | +0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 07 | $193 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Feb 07 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 05 | $193 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 29 | $194 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 03 | $194 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 03 | $197 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $198 | $0 | -0% |