Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93e7…03d8
crypto · 257 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,399 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,399 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$2,399
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses110 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)257 / 257
History coverage13d
Avg bet$106
Trades / day131.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,227
7 days−$2,954
14 days−$2,399
30 days−$2,399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $390 $0 −$390 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$72 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $138 −$132 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $239 −$232 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $140 −$132 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$40 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $240 −$232 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $246 −$232 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$40 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $240 −$232 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$43 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $239 +$168 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $240 +$194 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $241 +$372 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$42 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$40 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$44 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $178 −$171 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $239 +$202 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$52 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $165 −$150 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$22 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $219 −$212 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$37 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $116 +$85 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$28 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $115 +$62 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $219 −$212 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$29 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $115 −$112 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $190 −$176 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$41 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $117 −$109 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$13 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$12 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$19 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$96 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$92 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$21 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$27 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $147 +$52 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $148 +$95 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$72 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $108 +$107 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$70 -92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,399
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $24 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $38 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $113 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 +37.0% +23.9% 48% 46% -25.4%
≤30d 257 +39.4% +26.1% 43% 40% -20.9%
≤90d 257 +39.4% +26.1% 43% 40% -20.9%
all 257 +39.4% +26.1% 43% 40% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +26.1% 40% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here +14.0% 37% -28.5%
15% +3.0% 32% -35.4%
20% -7.1% 26% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.23 · official $0.00 · 1766 history records