Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T16:30:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x93e6…1e21 crypto 1219 markets active 8d ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (238 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$273 (-2%) realized −$273 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate49%509W / 532L
Drawdown46%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day237.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$504
7 days−$446
14 days+$192
30 days+$677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,181
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (238 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -20.6% -28.1% 14% 14% -78.2%
≤30d 1041 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 43% -4.2%
≤90d 1041 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 43% -4.2%
all 1041 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 43% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover237.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 43% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 38% -13.4%
15% -24.4% 35% -21.7%
20% -31.8% 24% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$7 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.19 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$273
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses509 / 532
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1041 / 1219
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day237.9
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1041 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 28 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 28 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 28 $0 +$5 +1697%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 28 $0 +$5 +1516%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 28 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $11 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records