Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:35:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93c8…d2a3
crypto · 1095 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$64 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$92
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1023 / 59
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1082 / 1095
History coverage45d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day74.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 1082 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$0
14 days−$78
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 97¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? No 98¢ 98¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 97¢ 96¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 97¢ 95¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? No 98¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17? No 98¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28? Yes 98¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14? No 97¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 17? No 98¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? Yes 97¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $26 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $9 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $17 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $16 −$6 -34%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $18 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $6 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 08 $12 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $23 $0 +1%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $7 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$87
world 1% −$4
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $9 58m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $12 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $9 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 97¢ $6 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $6 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $6 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $7 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $7 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $7 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $2 6h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 97¢ $6 6h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? SELL No 99¢ $1 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $7 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $9 10h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $9 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? SELL No 99¢ $6 12h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $11 16h
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $12 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 99¢ $7 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $12 21h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 100¢ $2 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $2 21h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $2 21h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $2 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $12 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 100¢ $11 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 637 -1.9% -11.2% 93% 0% -11.0%
≤90d 1082 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 1% -10.2%
all 1082 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.95 · official $91.95 (match) · 3500 history records