trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -45.4% | -50.6% | 33% | 33% | -29.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -46.7% | -51.7% | 33% | 33% | -33.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 56% | 50% | -9.1% |
| all | 16 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 56% | 50% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 50% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 50% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 38% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 31% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $175 | −$171 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $207 | −$202 | -98% |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz | Jun 16 | $339 | +$216 | +64% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$21 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 24 | $10 | +$6 | +56% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026? | May 21 | $6 | +$4 | +66% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 13 | $7 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 09 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | May 04 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 04 | $32 | +$8 | +25% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | May 01 | $102 | +$130 | +127% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 30 | $300 | +$2 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Apr 08 | $118 | +$40 | +34% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Apr 08 | $27 | +$23 | +85% |
| Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? | Mar 31 | $73 | +$26 | +36% |