Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:47:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
93 0x93c0…94ab crypto 155 markets active 0h ago coverage 43d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$35 (+0%) realized +$35 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%150W / 4L
Drawdown48%max
Avg bet$54per market
Trades / day6.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$46
14 days+$46
30 days+$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$76
other 11% −$29
sports 0% −$5
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 153 +0.9% -8.7% 98% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 154 +0.3% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.1%
all 154 +0.3% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.1%
10% -18.0% 1% -17.8%
15% -25.9% 1% -25.7%
20% -33.1% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.95 per $1 lost it wins $1.95
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses150 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)154 / 155
History coverage43d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 154 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $38 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $376 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $226 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $38 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $113 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $38 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $158 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $475 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $117 +$3 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $396 +$4 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $79 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $79 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $39 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $38 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 433 history records