Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93bd…89bc
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$203 +29%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$221 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$221
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions2
Markets (closed)6 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$221
7 days+$221
14 days+$221
30 days+$221
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Washington Mystics 45¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $41 +$42 +102%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $319 +$467 +147%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +126%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 +$14 +454%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Jun 12 $304 −$296 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$171
other 11% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $83 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $786 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 24¢ $17 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $41 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $9 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 2h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $9 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $10 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $308 3h
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Washington Mystics 45¢ $304 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+85.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +104.7% +85.2% 67% 67% +20.3%
≤30d 6 +104.7% +85.2% 67% 67% +20.3%
≤90d 6 +104.7% +85.2% 67% 67% +20.3%
all 6 +104.7% +85.2% 67% 67% +20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.2% 67% +20.3%
10% +67.5% 67% +8.8%
15% +51.3% 67% -1.7%
20% +36.5% 67% -11.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.07 (match) · 13 history records