trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 23% | 23% | +43.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +34.5% | +21.7% | 26% | 26% | +45.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +34.5% | +21.7% | 26% | 26% | +45.8% |
| all | 19 | +34.5% | +21.7% | 26% | 26% | +45.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.7% | 26% | +45.8% |
| 10% | +10.1% | 26% | +31.8% |
| 15% | -0.6% | 26% | +19.1% |
| 20% | -10.3% | 26% | +7.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $93 | $86 | −$7 (-7%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-11%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $20 | $26 | +$6 (+32%) |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 26¢ | $20 | $22 | +$3 (+13%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+25%) |
| Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $1 | −$10 (-89%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $32 | +$63 | +194% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $51 | +$118 | +231% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan? | Jun 22 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan? | Jun 21 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $29 | +$284 | +970% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 17 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 3 - 3 Norway? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand? | Jun 17 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $73 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $44 | +$38 | +88% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 15 | $14 | −$9 | -61% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $42 | +$183 | +436% |