Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93b1…746e
crypto · 776 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$114,084 -233%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114,084 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$3
Realized−$114,084
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses458 / 613
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1071 / 776
History coverage9d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day339.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1071 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$115,176
7 days−$114,313
14 days−$114,084
30 days−$114,084
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 14¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 61¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 53¢ $5,184 $0 −$5,184 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 36¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 31¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 56¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 58¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 39¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 85¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 51¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 52¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 32¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 54¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 51¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 40¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5,184 −$5,184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $128 −$128 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $248 −$248 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET Jun 12 $123 −$123 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $403 −$403 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $644 −$644 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$124 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $229 −$229 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,526
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $13 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $25 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $22 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $25 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-36.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 883 -37.8% -43.7% 40% 38% -89.3%
≤30d 1071 -29.6% -36.3% 43% 39% -73.3%
≤90d 1071 -29.6% -36.3% 43% 39% -73.3%
all 1071 -29.6% -36.3% 43% 39% -73.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover339.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.3% 39% -73.3%
10% ← realistic here -42.4% 34% -75.8%
15% -47.9% 25% -78.2%
20% -53.0% 17% -80.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.08 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records