Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93ad…4045
crypto · 1214 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$384 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$384 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$384
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses761 / 574
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1335 / 1214
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day414.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1335 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$461
7 days−$384
14 days−$384
30 days−$384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 45¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 39¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 37¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 45¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 37¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$165
other 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-32.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1335 -24.8% -32.0% 57% 54% -17.4%
≤30d 1335 -24.8% -32.0% 57% 54% -17.4%
≤90d 1335 -24.8% -32.0% 57% 54% -17.4%
all 1335 -24.8% -32.0% 57% 54% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover414.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.0% 54% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -38.5% 9% -25.3%
15% -44.4% 6% -32.5%
20% -49.9% 5% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records