Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:01:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x93a0…74de
other · 187 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$531 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$177 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,464
Realized+$177
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses46 / 117
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$317
Open positions24
Markets (closed)163 / 187
History coverage150d
Avg bet$461
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 24 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$697
14 days−$938
30 days−$1,750
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $677 $692 +$15 (+2%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $304 $354 +$51 (+17%)
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims) Muslim Salikhov 50¢ 50¢ $273 $273 +$0 (+0%)
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 28¢ 22¢ $325 $252 −$73 (-22%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 48¢ 55¢ $214 $243 +$29 (+14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $127 $157 +$30 (+24%)
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 12¢ 13¢ $117 $128 +$12 (+10%)
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 3¢ 13¢ $14 $61 +$46 (+323%)
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $69 $58 −$10 (-15%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $53 $52 −$1 (-2%)
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $42 $36 −$5 (-12%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $39 $36 −$3 (-8%)
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-5%)
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $27 $23 −$5 (-17%)
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $22 $16 −$6 (-28%)
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-6%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $11 −$5 (-30%)
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 9¢ 2¢ $59 $11 −$48 (-82%)
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-55%)
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $10 $6 −$3 (-33%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 71¢ 54¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-24%)
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes 90¢ 86¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 71¢ 55¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-23%)
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC? No 6¢ 1¢ $7 $1 −$7 (-90%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $23 −$1 -6%
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $98 −$2 -2%
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $105 −$6 -5%
Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $7 −$1 -8%
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $132 −$12 -9%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $8 $0 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $166 −$10 -6%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $91 −$6 -6%
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? Jun 11 $11 −$1 -8%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $127 −$59 -46%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $199 −$11 -6%
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships? Jun 09 $11 −$1 -12%
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 08 $63 −$1 -2%
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 08 $34 −$6 -19%
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $222 −$6 -3%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $140 −$3 -2%
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 08 $2,993 −$522 -17%
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 08 $8 −$1 -18%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1,907 +$2 +0%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr Jun 07 $16 −$1 -5%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $256 −$20 -8%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $33 −$7 -22%
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 07 $458 −$26 -6%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $61 −$1 -1%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 07 $22 −$2 -9%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $5 $0 -9%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $29 $0 +1%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $189 −$6 -3%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $47 −$15 -32%
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? Jun 04 $120 −$60 -50%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 04 $30 −$1 -4%
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Arnaldi (+2.5) Jun 03 $10 $0 -4%
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 03 $0 $0 -99%
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $17 $0 -2%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 01 $21 −$5 -22%
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Jun 01 $187 −$159 -85%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 01 $9 −$2 -21%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $55 +$4 +6%
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 01 $142 +$25 +18%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 31 $64 $0 -1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 31 $9 −$1 -12%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $233 −$12 -5%
NBA: SGA Award Parlay May 31 $47 +$1 +2%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $771 −$51 -7%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 30 $53 −$9 -16%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $5 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 29% +$1,941
other 23% −$358
economics 20% +$47
sports 16% −$1,156
world 9% +$10
crypto 2% +$49
culture 0% −$353
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 86¢ $37 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 87¢ $9 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 87¢ $9 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 87¢ $20 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 87¢ $200 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 88¢ $19 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 88¢ $68 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 88¢ $10 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 88¢ $38 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 88¢ $13 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 88¢ $44 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 88¢ $10 1h
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY Yes 3¢ $25 7h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $98 9h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $33 9h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $100 9h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $66 10h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 10h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $21 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $17 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 6¢ $6 12h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $24 17h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $7 17h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $16 17h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $8 17h
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $96 17h
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $98 17h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 41¢ $100 18h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 42¢ $4 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -6.7% -15.6% 12% 8% -18.4%
≤30d 91 -18.2% -26.0% 16% 8% -17.1%
≤90d 140 -15.2% -23.3% 22% 10% -20.9%
all 163 -11.3% -19.7% 28% 12% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 12% -9.3%
10% -27.4% 6% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -34.4% 4% -25.9%
20% -40.9% 3% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,464.04 · official $2,472.93 (match) · 3164 history records