trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 50% | 33% | -24.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 50% | 33% | -24.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 50% | 33% | -24.8% |
| all | 12 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 50% | 33% | -24.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -34.5% | 33% | -24.8% |
| 10% | -40.7% | 17% | -32.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -46.5% | 8% | -38.6% |
| 20% | -51.7% | 8% | -44.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | $1,575 | $1,653 | +$79 (+5%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $1,500 | $1,487 | −$13 (-1%) |
| Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 50¢ | 58¢ | $1,000 | $1,172 | +$172 (+17%) |
| Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Yes | 93¢ | 92¢ | $1,000 | $998 | −$2 (-0%) |
| Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | No | 92¢ | 95¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Jun 26 | $1,101 | −$434 | -39% |
| Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $1,000 | +$9 | +1% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $2,620 | +$775 | +30% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $208 | +$42 | +20% |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 25 | $1,002 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $1,012 | −$1,012 | -100% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $1,729 | −$1,729 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $359 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $2,630 | +$1,850 | +70% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $1,459 | −$1,115 | -76% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $1,515 | +$247 | +16% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $307 | −$160 | -52% |