Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x938c…8df4
crypto · 1080 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$806 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$835 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$835
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses556 / 509
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1065 / 1080
History coverage107d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 10 History 1065 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$409
7 days−$357
14 days−$339
30 days−$344
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 29¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 28¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+25%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $37 +$10 +26%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$19 +1843%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -20%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 +$9 +109%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemund Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 12 $7 −$1 -9%
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borges Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Huzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 12 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Wuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayeni Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -88%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Mirra Andreeva vs. Sorana Cirstea: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$544
sports 12% −$158
other 7% −$155
world 4% +$27
finance 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $47 26m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $37 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 BUY Under 63¢ $3 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $5 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 33¢ $1 6h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 51¢ $1 9h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 62¢ $2 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Will Canad BUY 6¢ $0 45h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $8 46h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 -36.2% -42.2% 30% 16% -34.0%
≤30d 410 -15.6% -23.6% 44% 21% -19.4%
≤90d 1060 -9.8% -18.4% 52% 33% -13.7%
all 1065 -9.6% -18.2% 52% 33% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 33% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 21% -21.9%
15% -33.2% 12% -29.4%
20% -39.7% 9% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.45 · official $26.45 (match) · 3500 history records