trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 14 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 29 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | May 17 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 10 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Apr 15 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 05 | $102 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 27 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 21 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 18 | $102 | $0 | +0% |