Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9389…3ed7
crypto · 744 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$255 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$276 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$276
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses320 / 423
Open positions1
Markets (closed)743 / 744
History coverage3d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day922.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 743 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$544
7 days+$276
14 days+$276
30 days+$276
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 28¢ $21 $0 −$20 (-98%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 53¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 32¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$31 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$4 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$16 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$19 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $82 −$11 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +147%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$44 +169%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$18 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$20 +666%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$14 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $87 +$12 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$63 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$10 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$15 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$11 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$14 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$255
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $9 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $19 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 743 -8.2% -16.9% 43% 40% -7.8%
≤30d 743 -8.2% -16.9% 43% 40% -7.8%
≤90d 743 -8.2% -16.9% 43% 40% -7.8%
all 743 -8.2% -16.9% 43% 40% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover922.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 40% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 36% -16.6%
15% -32.1% 31% -24.7%
20% -38.8% 27% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.37 · official $31.06 · 3500 history records