Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

93
0x9385…f3ad
crypto · 106 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$3,187 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,187 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses50 / 56
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage38d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,020
7 days−$3,123
14 days−$3,123
30 days−$3,123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $255 $0 −$255 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
First Blood in Game 1? Bilibili Gaming 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$21 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$29 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $260 −$255 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $227 +$29 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$55 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $253 −$23 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $276 +$15 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $153 −$35 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $356 +$43 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $203 +$53 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $127 −$125 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$65 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $154 +$87 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $203 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $203 +$74 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $152 +$51 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$50 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$42 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$48 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $253 +$47 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$49 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $177 +$23 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$21 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $134 +$104 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $205 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$30 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $212 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $205 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $217 +$198 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $139 +$81 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$3,459
sports 5% +$292
other 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $26 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -18.5% -26.3% 49% 42% -36.9%
≤30d 77 -18.5% -26.3% 49% 42% -36.9%
≤90d 106 -16.9% -24.8% 47% 41% -36.5%
all 106 -16.9% -24.8% 47% 41% -36.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.8% 41% -36.5%
10% -32.0% 36% -42.6%
15% -38.6% 33% -48.1%
20% -44.6% 31% -53.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 322 history records