Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:06:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
93 0x9382…b977 crypto 715 markets active 5d ago coverage 24d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$89 (+1%) realized +$89 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate61%436W / 278L
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day59.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$24
14 days+$15
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -10.2% -18.8% 50% 38% -20.7%
≤30d 714 +1.5% -8.1% 61% 41% -9.2%
≤90d 714 +1.5% -8.1% 61% 41% -9.2%
all 714 +1.5% -8.1% 61% 41% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 41% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 25% -17.9%
15% -24.9% 15% -25.8%
20% -32.3% 8% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
0.6 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses436 / 278
Open positions0
Markets (closed)714 / 715
History coverage24d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day59.4
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 714 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2140 history records